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- Cowger, Christina, et al. Show all 5 Authors
- EcoHealth 2009 v.6 no.4 pp. 546
- disease transmission; tail; prediction; pathogens; humans; hosts; field experimentation; emerging diseases; disease outbreaks; disease models; disease prevalence; animal diseases; plant diseases and disorders; dispersibility; geographical distribution
- ... Disease spread has traditionally been described as a traveling wave of constant velocity. However, aerially dispersed pathogens capable of long-distance dispersal often have dispersal gradients with extended tails that could result in acceleration of the epidemic front. We evaluated empirical data with a simple model of disease spread that incorporates logistic growth in time with an inverse power ...