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- Liu, Yan; Hwang, Yeonsang
- Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 2015 v.29 no.1 pp. 79-91
- climate; drought; financial economics; models; planning; prediction; temperature; water management; Arkansas
- ... Drought prediction is important for improved water resources management and agriculture planning. Although Arkansas has suffered severe droughts and economic loss in recent years, no significant study has been done. This study proposes a local nonparametric autoregressive model with designed stochastic residual-resampling approach to produce ensemble drought forecasts with associated confidence. T ...