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You searched for: Journal name Theoretical and applied climatology Remove constraint Journal name: Theoretical and applied climatology Publication year rev 7978-2022 Remove constraint Publication year rev: 7978-2022 Source 2022 v.148 no.1-2 Remove constraint Source: 2022 v.148 no.1-2
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1. A new evolutionary time series model for streamflow forecasting in boreal lake-river systems

Author:
Ali Danandeh Mehr; Sahand Ghadimi; Hannu Marttila; Ali Torabi Haghighi
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 255-268
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
climatology; hydrometeorology; models; prediction; regression analysis; rivers; stream flow; time series analysis; Finland
Abstract:
... Genetic programming (GP) is an evolutionary regression method that has received considerable interest to model hydro-environmental phenomena recently. Considering the sparseness of hydro-meteorological stations on northern areas, this study investigates the benefits and downfalls of univariate streamflow modeling at high latitudes using GP and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SAR ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03939-3

2. Assessment of climate change impact on probable maximum floods in a tropical catchment

Author:
Saad Sh. Sammen; T. A. Mohammed; Abdul Halim Ghazali; L. M. Sidek; Shamsuddin Shahid; S. I. Abba; Anurag Malik; Nadhir Al-Ansari
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 15-31
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
climate; climate change; climate models; climatology; flood control; hydrologic models; infrastructure; rain; watersheds; Malaysia
Abstract:
... The increases in extreme rainfall could increase the probable maximum flood (PMF) and pose a severe threat to the critical hydraulic infrastructure such as dams and flood protection structures. This study is conducted to assess the impact of climate change on PMF in a tropical catchment. Climate and inflow data of the Tenmengor reservoir, located in the state of Perak in Malaysia, have been used t ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03925-9

3. Characteristics and possible mechanisms of diurnal variation of summertime precipitation in South Korea

Author:
Han-Gyul Jin; Hyunho Lee; Jong-Jin Baik
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 551-568
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
climatology; coasts; cooling; diurnal variation; heat; mountains; rain gauges; snow; summer; South Korea; Yellow Sea
Abstract:
... This study analyzes the characteristics of diurnal variation of precipitation in South Korea in June and July using 10-yr nationwide rain gauge data and investigates possible mechanisms for this. The diurnal variation of precipitation amount has two peaks, a primary peak at 05–08 LST and a secondary peak at 16–18 LST. Both the precipitation intensity and frequency contribute to each of the two pea ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03965-1

4. Consequences of climate change on flax fiber in Normandy by 2100: prospective bioclimatic simulation based on data from the ALADIN-Climate and WRF regional models

Author:
François Beauvais; Olivier Cantat; Patrick Le Gouée; Sophie Brunel-Muguet; Philippe Madeline; Hervé Gaillard; Marie-Paule Bataille; Augustin Sallent; Thibaut Preux; Mohand Medjkane
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 415-426
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
Linum; climate change; climatology; fabrics; flax; heat; maritime climate; phenology; rain; risk; spring; summer; water shortages; China; France
Abstract:
... Normandy is the world’s leading producer of flax fiber (Linum usitatissimu L.), which is mainly exported to China for textile manufacturing. Flax is a plant that is cultivated in spring and that grows in an oceanic climate with regular watering and limited thermal excesses. This article aims at projecting the impact of climate change on the phenology of this plant when subjected to climatic hazard ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03938-4

5. Demonstrating the potential of regional ocean model system in simulating the upper ocean characteristic over the Arabian Sea: impact of horizontal resolution

Author:
Prabha Kushwaha; Vivek Kumar Pandey
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 427-439
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
basins; climatology; latitude; monsoon season; salinity; seasonal variation; surface water temperature; Arabian Sea
Abstract:
... This study intended to demonstrate the capability of the regional ocean model system (ROMS) in reproducing the Arabian Sea’s hydrographic properties (AS). The effect of the horizontal resolution is also explored. The ROMS is integrated over Arabian Sea (AS) for 10 years, encompassing 30 E–80 E and 5 N–30 N at two distinct horizontal resolutions of 1/6 (17 km) and 1/4 (25 km). The results obtained ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03934-8

6. Determination of rainy season onset and cessation based on a flexible driest period

Author:
Teuku Ferijal; Okke Batelaan; Margaret Shanafield; Furqon Alfahmi
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 91-104
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
agronomy; atmospheric precipitation; climatology; wet season
Abstract:
... A fixed climatological year is generally used to determine rainy season onset and cessation. However, due to changes in climate, the fixed climatological year might not be the right basis for the onset and cessation dates estimation. This study proposes the usage of the driest period in the year to establish a flexible climatological year to determine rainy season onset and cessation dates. The dr ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-021-03917-1

7. Effect of climate change on potential distribution of oriental beech (Fagus orientalis Lipsky.) in the twenty-first century in Turkey

Author:
Sezgin AYAN; Ender BUGDAY; Tugrul VAROL; Halil Barış ÖZEL; Eric Andreas THURM
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 165-177
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
Fagus sylvatica subsp. orientalis; Turkey (country); climate change; climatology; conservation programs; ecosystems; forests; germplasm conservation; models; prediction; rain; shrinkage; Mediterranean region
Abstract:
... The rising temperatures and decreasing rainfall are expected to have negative effects on ecosystem services by causing significant shrinkage or shift of forest distribution particularly in Mediterranean basin. In this study, it was aimed to determine the distribution of oriental beech (Fagus orientalis Lipsky.) by modelling the current and future potential locations of the habitats. With Maximum E ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03940-w

8. Impact of temperature on agricultural drought occurrence under the effects of climate change

Author:
Senna Bouabdelli; Ayoub Zeroual; Mohamed Meddi; Ali Assani
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 191-209
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
agricultural income; atmospheric precipitation; climate change; climatology; drought; evapotranspiration; food security; risk; semiarid zones; spring; temperature; warm season; Mediterranean region
Abstract:
... The frequency of drought events in the Mediterranean region has increased significantly in recent years, along with a substantial increase in their spatial and temporal extent. These events are associated with high temperatures and low precipitation. Our study presents a vision on the impact of temperature on agricultural drought frequency, severity, and temporal extent under future scenarios over ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03935-7

9. Investigation of extreme precipitation indices in Turkey

Author:
Zahide Acar; Barbaros Gönençgil
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 679-691
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
Turkey (country); climatology; time series analysis; Mediterranean region
Abstract:
... This paper focuses on spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation indices of Turkey’s precipitation data for the periods 1966–2014. Seven precipitation indices include the number of extremely wet days, very wet days, heavy precipitation days (10 mm and 20 mm), simple daily intensity days, and consecutive dry and wet days. The indices are based on homogenized precipitation data. Besides, long-t ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03971-3

10. Pandemic episodes, CO2 emissions and global temperatures

Author:
Manuel Monge; Luis A. Gil-Alana
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 481-489
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
carbon dioxide; climatology; pandemic
Abstract:
... This paper deals with the relationship between the CO₂ emissions and the global temperatures across the various pandemic episodes that have been taken place in the last 100 years. To carry out the analysis, first we conducted unit root tests finding evidence of nonstationary I(1) behavior, which means that a shift in time causes a change in the shape of distribution. However, due to the low statis ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03959-z

11. Rare disaster risks and volatility of the term-structure of US Treasury Securities: The role of El Niño and La Niña events

Author:
Renee van Eyden; Rangan Gupta; Jacobus Nel; Elie Bouri
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 383-389
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
El Nino; La Nina; climatology; models; variance
Abstract:
... The purpose of this paper is to determine the impact of rare disaster risks, captured by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, on the volatility of Treasury securities of the United States (US) involving 1- to 360-month maturities. We use a random coefficient panel-data-based heterogeneous autoregressive-realized variance (HAR-RV) model over the monthly period of 1961:06 to 2019:12, with ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-021-03910-8

12. Spatial interpolation methods for estimating monthly rainfall distribution in Thailand

Author:
N. Chutsagulprom; K. Chaisee; B. Wongsaijai; P. Inkeaw; C. Oonariya
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 317-328
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
climatology; kriging; rain; regression analysis; Thailand
Abstract:
... Spatial interpolation methods usually differ in their underlying mathematical concepts. Each has inherent advantages and disadvantages, and choosing a method should be based on the type of data to be analyzed. This paper, therefore, compares and evaluates the performances of well-established interpolation techniques that can be used to estimate monthly rainfall in Thailand. The approaches analyzed ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03927-7

13. Spatial-temporal analysis of historical and projected drought events over Isiolo County, Kenya

Author:
Phillip Ochieng; Isaiah Nyandega; Boniface Wambua
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 531-550
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
climate; climatology; drought; models; soil; temperature; time series analysis; water stress; Kenya
Abstract:
... This study was to determine the spatiotemporal characteristics of historical and projected drought events throughout Isiolo County, Kenya, through using self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI). The historical scPDSI was computed at monthly timescale using a 39-year long monthly mean precipitation, monthly average temperature, and climatological (1950–1996) soil available water hold ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03953-5

14. Spatial–temporal changes in risk of climate-related yield reduction of winter wheat during 1973–2014 in Anhui province, southeast China

Author:
Jin Huang; Jinhua Chen; Fangmin Zhang; Zhenghua Hu
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 49-63
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
climate change; climatology; food security; principal component analysis; risk; rivers; winter wheat; China
Abstract:
... Winter wheat is one of the main food crops in Anhui province, southeast China. To ensure the regional food security under the background of climate change, the risk of climate-related yield reduction (CRYR) of winter wheat in Anhui was analyzed by using the theory of climate-related yield and two mode of principal component analysis (PCA). Based on the yield data of winter wheat from 1973 to 2014 ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03929-5

15. The intraseasonal fluctuation of Indian summer monsoon rainfall and its relation with monsoon intraseasonal oscillation (MISO) and Madden Julian oscillation (MJO)

Author:
Avijit Dey; R. Chattopadhyay; S. Joseph; M. Kaur; R. Mandal; R. Phani; A. K. Sahai; D. R. Pattanaik
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 819-831
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
climatology; intraseasonal oscillation; monsoon season; rain; variance
Abstract:
... The intraseasonal fluctuations of Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) are mainly controlled by northward propagating monsoon intraseasonal oscillation (MISO) and eastward propagating Madden Julian oscillation (MJO). In the current study, we examine the relationship between the intraseasonal fluctuations (active and break spells) of ISMR with the phase propagation and amplitude of MISO and MJO. W ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03970-4

16. Variation in actual corn (Zea mays L.) evapotranspiration, single, and dual crop coefficient under different point source irrigation systems in a semiarid region

Author:
Elahe Kanani; Hossein Dehghanisanij; Samira Akhavan
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 303-315
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
Zea mays; biomass production; climatology; corn; crop coefficient; evapotranspiration; experimental design; foil; irrigation management; microirrigation; semiarid zones; water use efficiency; Iran
Abstract:
... Close management of irrigation could have considerable impacts on water resources, especially for cropping systems dominated by corn. The experiment was carried out to compare the influence of porous capsule irrigation (PCI), surface drip irrigation (DI), and subsurface drip irrigation (SDI) systems, with or without mulching, on actual evapotranspiration (ETc ₐcₜ), crop coefficients (Kc ₛᵢₙgₗₑ and ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03932-w

17. Variation in precipitation over Songhua River Basin and its relationship with north Tropical Atlantic sea surface temperature anomalies during boreal spring

Author:
Chen Chen; Yongsheng Li; Dejun Lou; Xianwei Zhou; Lihong Bao
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 211-221
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
atmospheric circulation; climatology; prediction; spring; surface water temperature; troposphere; water power; watersheds; wind; China; Eurasia
Abstract:
... Through observation and numerical experiments, this study investigated the variation in the spring precipitation of the Songhua River Basin (SRB) for 1979–2020 and its relationship with the simultaneous northern Tropical Atlantic (NTA) sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs). The results show that the main features of atmospheric circulation related to the SRB precipitation were anomalous vortic ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03942-8

18. WRF sensitivity simulations of a dense advection fog event in Istanbul

Author:
Yasemin Ezber; Omer L. Sen
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 617-641
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
advection; air; airports; climatology; dewpoint; models; shortwave radiation; temperature; terrestrial radiation; troposphere
Abstract:
... This study investigates the predictability of the dense advection fog over Istanbul on February 19, 2014, which significantly halted international as well as local transportation. Sensitivity simulations were conducted using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model forced by the ERA-Interim reanalysis data. A hierarchical approach was adopted. The first group of sensitivity simulations inv ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03966-0

19. A probe into the behaviour of total ozone time series through multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis

Author:
Sombit Chakraborty; Surajit Chattopadhyay
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 671-677
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
climatology; ozone; time series analysis; variance
Abstract:
... The present study reports a multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) of total ozone time series. Considering daily total ozone concentration (TOC) data ranging from 2015 to 2019, derived from Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI)/Aura observations, we have created a new profile by subtracting the trend. Subsequently, we have divided the profile [Formula: see text] into non-intersecting seg ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03967-z

20. A trade-off analysis of adaptive and non-adaptive future optimized rule curves based on simulation algorithm and hedging rules

Author:
Mahnoosh Moghaddasi; Sedigheh Anvari; Najemeh Akhondi
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2022 v.148 no.1-2 pp. 65-78
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
algorithms; climate change; climatology; meteorological data; models; runoff; stream flow; water shortages
Abstract:
... Considering the periodical changes in stream flow, it is essential to use rule curves for the optimal operation of reservoirs. This study aims to investigate the performance of Zarrineh Rud reservoir by implementing strategies for adaptation to climate change. Daily meteorological and hydrometric data were collected from selected stations upstream of the dam over a 26-year period (1990–2016). Usin ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-022-03930-y