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- Bolster, Carl H
- Journal of environmental quality 2013 v.42 no.4 pp. 1
- Monte Carlo method; agricultural management models; agricultural runoff; animal manures; losses from soil; manure spreading; model uncertainty; model validation; phosphorus; prediction; uncertainty analysis
- ... Models are often used to predict phosphorus (P) loss from agricultural fields. While it is commonly recognized that there are inherent uncertainties with model predictions, limited studies have addressed model prediction uncertainty. In this study we assess the effect of model input error on predictions of annual P loss by the Annual P Loss Estimator (APLE) model, an empirically-based spreadsheet ...