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1. Pathway models for analysing and managing the introduction of alien plant pests⿿an overview and categorization

Author:
Douma, J.C.; Pautasso, M.; Venette, R.C.; Robinet, C.; Hemerik, L.; Mourits, M.C.M.; Schans, J.; van der Werf, W.
Source:
Ecological modelling 2016 v.339 pp. 58-67
ISSN:
0304-3800
Subject:
risk assessors,   etc   ; biodiversity; cluster analysis; introduced plants; models; pests; risk; risk assessment; risk managers; terminology; tourism; trade; travel; uncertainty;     Show all 14 Subjects
Abstract:
... Alien plant pests are introduced into new areas at unprecedented rates through global trade, transport, tourism and travel, threatening biodiversity and agriculture. Increasingly, the movement and introduction of pests is analysed with pathway models to provide risk managers with quantitative estimates of introduction risks and effectiveness of management options. Pathway models vary greatly in ma ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.08.009

2. A Bayesian network to optimise sample size for food allergen monitoring

Author:
Elegbede, C.F.; Papadopoulos, Alexandra; Gauvreau, Julie; Crépet, Amélie
Source:
Food control 2015 v.47 pp. 212-220
ISSN:
0956-7135
Subject:
risk assessors,   etc   ; Bayesian theory; allergens; health hazards; hypersensitivity; models; monitoring; peanuts; risk; risk assessment; risk managers; uncertainty;     Show all 12 Subjects
Abstract:
... Generally, sampling size is optimised considering a single specific constraint. However, for financial reasons, only one sample is usually defined and used to satisfy several objectives. It is therefore crucial to choose a sample that meets all the required objectives.This paper proposes an original method for optimising a sample plan to monitor allergen traces in products consumed by allergy suff ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.foodcont.2014.06.039

3. Population level risk assessment: practical considerations for evaluation of population models from a risk assessor's perspective

Author:
Wang, Magnus; Luttik, Robert
Source:
Environmental sciences Europe 2012 v.24 no.1 pp. 44
ISSN:
2190-4707
Subject:
risk assessors,   etc   ; model uncertainty; model validation; models; pesticides; population size; risk assessment;     Show all 7 Subjects
Abstract:
... Population models are increasingly being considered as a tool for pesticide risk assessment in order to evaluate how potential effects act on the population level and population recovery. While the importance and difficulties of such models have been discussed by various authors during the past decade, mainly with a focus on how to describe or develop such models, several biological and methodolog ...
DOI:
10.1186/2190-4715-24-3

4. Modelling and mapping spread in pest risk analysis: a generic approach

Author:
Kehlenbeck, H.; Robinet, C.; van der Werf, W.; Kriticos, D.; Reynaud, P.; Baker, R.
Source:
Bulletin OEPP 2012 v.42 no.1 pp. 74-80
ISSN:
0250-8052
Subject:
risk assessors,   etc   ; Diabrotica virgifera; case studies; economic impact; expert opinion; models; pests; population growth; risk assessment;     Show all 9 Subjects
Abstract:
... Assessing the likelihood and magnitude of spread is one of the cornerstones of pest risk analysis (PRA), and is usually based on qualitative expert judgment. This paper proposes a suite of simple ecological models to support risk assessors who also wish to estimate the rate and extent of spread, e.g. when modelling the dynamics of invasion and the economic impacts that may result. Models are based ...
DOI:
10.1111/j.1365-2338.2012.02550.x

5. Protection goals in environmental risk assessment: a practical approach

Author:
Garcia-Alonso, Monica; Raybould, Alan
Source:
Transgenic research 2014 v.23 no.6 pp. 945-956
ISSN:
0962-8819
Subject:
risk assessors,   etc   ; agricultural products; crops; decision making; humans; issues and policy; laws and regulations; models; pesticides; risk; risk assessment; transgenic plants;     Show all 12 Subjects
Abstract:
... Policy protection goals are set up in most countries to minimise harm to the environment, humans and animals caused by human activities. Decisions on whether to approve new agricultural products, like pesticides or genetically modified (GM) crops, take into account these policy protection goals. To support decision-making, applications for approval of commercial uses of GM crops usually comprise a ...
DOI:
10.1007/s11248-013-9760-1
PubMed:
24154954

6. Response to an emerging vector-borne disease: Surveillance and preparedness for Schmallenberg virus

Author:
Roberts, H.C.; Elbers, A.R.W.; Conraths, F.J.; Holsteg, M.; Hoereth-Boentgen, D.; Gethmann, J.; van Schaik, G.
Source:
Preventive veterinary medicine 2014 v.116 no.4 pp. 341-349
ISSN:
0167-5877
Subject:
risk assessors,   etc   ; European Union; summer; risk communication; Internet; adults; animal diseases; industry; vector-borne diseases; risk assessment; pathogens; monitoring; cattle; models; Schmallenberg orthobunyavirus; milking; prediction; microarray technology; emerging diseases; Germany; Netherlands; Northern European region; United Kingdom;     Show all 23 Subjects
Abstract:
... Surveillance for new emerging animal diseases from a European perspective is complicated by the non-harmonised approach across Member States for data capture, recording livestock populations and case definitions. In the summer of 2011, a new vector-borne Orthobunyavirus emerged in Northern Europe and for the first time, a coordinated approach to horizon scanning, risk communication, data and diagn ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.prevetmed.2014.08.020