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1. A height-wood-seed axis which is preserved across climatic regions explains tree dominance in European forest communities

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Costa-Saura, José M.; Spano, Donatella; Mereu, Simone;     Show all 4 Authors
Source:
Plant ecology 2019 v.220 no.4-5 pp. 467-480
ISSN:
1385-0237
Subject:
climatic factors; climatic zones; forest communities; forest inventory; forests; functional diversity; leaves; national forests; species abundance; temperature; trees; wilting; wood density; France; Italy; Spain
Abstract:
... Environmental constraints on both functional traits and trait–trait correlation patterns are extremely relevant research questions to understand assembling mechanisms and scaling processes in ecology. In fact, community weighted mean (CWM) and functional diversity (FD) metrics assimilate meaningful complementary information from species to community level. Relating species abundance data from nati ...
DOI:
10.1007/s11258-019-00928-x

2. Using daily data from seasonal forecasts in dynamic crop models for yield prediction: A case study for rice in Nepal’s Terai

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Jha, Prakash K.; Athanasiadis, Panos; Gualdi, Silvio; Mereu, Valentina; Shelia, Vakhtang; Hoogenboom, Gerrit;     Show all 7 Authors
Source:
Agricultural and forest meteorology 2019 v.265 pp. 349-358
ISSN:
0168-1923
Subject:
agricultural statistics; case studies; climate; climate models; climatology; crop models; cropping systems; farmers; grain yield; growing season; prediction; rice; risk; weather forecasting; yield forecasting; Nepal
Abstract:
... Skillful seasonal climate predictions paired with a dynamic crop model can assist agricultural management and help farmers minimize risk. For crop yield predictions, the skill in generating realistic distributions of weather for the crop growing season matters more than the skill of forecasting the mean seasonal climate itself. In this regard, the ensemble of daily fields of the Seasonal Predictio ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.11.029

3. Evaluating the applicability of using daily forecasts from seasonal prediction systems (SPSs) for agriculture: a case study of Nepal’s Terai with the NCEP CFSv2

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Jha, Prakash K.; Athanasiadis, Panos; Gualdi, Silvio; Mereu, Valentina; Shelia, Vakhtang; Hoogenboom, Gerrit;     Show all 7 Authors
Source:
Theoretical and applied climatology 2019 v.135 no.3-4 pp. 1143-1156
ISSN:
0177-798X
Subject:
air temperature; atmospheric precipitation; case studies; crop management; crop models; decision making; growing season; monsoon season; prediction; solar radiation; weather forecasting; yield forecasting; Nepal
Abstract:
... Ensemble forecasts from dynamic seasonal prediction systems (SPSs) have the potential to improve decision-making for crop management to help cope with interannual weather variability. Because the reliability of crop yield predictions based on seasonal weather forecasts depends on the quality of the forecasts, it is essential to evaluate forecasts prior to agricultural applications. This study anal ...
DOI:
10.1007/s00704-018-2433-5

4. Assessment of Irrigated Agriculture Vulnerability under Climate Change in Southern Italy

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Masia, Sara; Sušnik, Janez; Marras, Serena; Mereu, Simone; Spano, Donatella;     Show all 6 Authors
Source:
Water 2018 v.10 no.2
ISSN:
2073-4441
Subject:
case studies; climate change; crop models; crop production; drought; evaporation; freshwater; geographic information systems; irrigated farming; irrigation requirement; runoff; water distribution; water shortages; Italy; Mediterranean region
Abstract:
... Climate change in Mediterranean countries is anticipated to have a strong impact on water availability by exacerbating drought conditions and water scarcity. In this context, efficient irrigation practices are becoming essential for sustaining crop production. This work assesses vulnerability of irrigated agriculture for six irrigation districts and their associated reservoirs in Mediterranean are ...
DOI:
10.3390/w10020209

5. Environmental filtering drives community specific leaf area in Spanish forests and predicts relevant changes under future climatic conditions

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Costa-Saura, José M.; Spano, Donatella; Mereu, Simone;     Show all 4 Authors
Source:
Forest ecology and management 2017 v.405 pp. 1-8
ISSN:
0378-1127
Subject:
climate change; climatic factors; drought tolerance; dry environmental conditions; forest inventory; forest management; forest stands; forests; leaf area; national forests; species diversity; trees
Abstract:
... How functional traits at community level relate with environmental conditions is of great relevance to assess potential effects of climate change on ecosystem functioning. Species’ specific leaf area (SLA) is well recognised to be closely correlated with species drought resistance and with other forest functions such as productivity. Here, we used tree species abundance data from 44 501 forest plo ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.foreco.2017.09.023

6. Random subset feature selection for ecological niche models of wildfire activity in Western North America

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Tracy, James L.; Lawing, A. Michelle; Giermakowski, J. Tomasz; Tchakerian, Maria; Drus, Gail M.; Coulson, Robert N.;     Show all 7 Authors
Source:
Ecological modelling 2018 v.383 pp. 52-68
ISSN:
0304-3800
Subject:
algorithms; climate; fire regime; fuel loading; fuels (fire ecology); model validation; models; monitoring; niches; screening; topography; wildfires; North America
Abstract:
... Variable selection in ecological niche modelling can influence model projections to a degree comparable to variations in future climate scenarios. Consequently, it is important to select feature (variable) subsets for optimizing model performance and characterizing variability. We utilize a novel random subset feature selection algorithm (RSFSA) for niche modelling to select an ensemble of optimal ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.05.019

7. Multi-Stakeholder Development of a Serious Game to Explore the Water-Energy-Food-Land-Climate Nexus: The SIM4NEXUS Approach

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Sušnik, Janez; Chew, Chengzi; Domingo, Xavier; Mereu, Simone; Evans, Barry; Vamvakeridou-Lyroudia, Lydia; Savić, Dragan A.; Laspidou, Chrysi; Brouwer, Floor;     Show all 10 Authors
Source:
Water 2018 v.10 no.2
ISSN:
2073-4441
Subject:
case studies; climate; energy; game theory; games; issues and policy; silos; stakeholders; Italy; Sardinia
Abstract:
... Water, energy, food, land and climate form a tightly-connected nexus in which actions on one sector impact other sectors, creating feedbacks and unanticipated consequences. This is especially because at present, much scientific research and many policies are constrained to single discipline/sector silos that are often not interacting (e.g., water-related research/policy). However, experimenting wi ...
DOI:
10.3390/w10020139

8. Predicting range shifts of Asian elephants under global change

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Kanagaraj, Rajapandian; Araujo, Miguel B.; Barman, Rathin; Davidar, Priya; De, Rahul; Digal, Dinesh K.; Gopi, G. V.; Johnsingh, A. J. T.; Kakati, Kashmira; Kramer‐Schadt, Stephanie; Lamichhane, Babu R.; Lyngdoh, Salvador; Madhusudan, M. D.; Ul Islam Najar, Muneer; Parida, Jyotirmayee; Pradhan, Narendra M. B.; Puyravaud, Jean‐Philippe; Raghunath, R.; Rahim, P. P. Abdul; Muthamizh Selvan, K.; Subedi, Naresh; Udayraj, Swati; Wiegand, Thorsten; Williams, Amirtharaj C.; Goyal, Surendra P.;     Show all 26 Authors
Source:
Diversity & distributions 2019 v.25 no.5 pp. 822-838
ISSN:
1366-9516
Subject:
Elephas maximus; altitude; climate; climate change; data collection; databases; drought; geographical distribution; greenhouse gases; habitat destruction; habitat preferences; habitats; humans; hydrologic cycle; land use change; models; prediction; spatial data; temperature; valleys; Himalayan region; India; Nepal
Abstract:
... AIM: Climate change alters the water cycle, potentially affecting the distribution of species. Using an ensemble of species distribution models (SDMs), we predicted changes in distribution of the Asian elephant in South Asia due to increasing climatic variability under warming climate and human pressures. LOCATION: India and Nepal. METHODS: We compiled a comprehensive geodatabase of 115 predictor ...
DOI:
10.1111/ddi.12898

9. Specific leaf area and hydraulic traits explain niche segregation along an aridity gradient in Mediterranean woody species

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Costa-Saura, José María; Martínez-Vilalta, Jordi; Spano, Donatella; Mereu, Simone;     Show all 5 Authors
Source:
Perspectives in plant ecology, evolution and systematics 2016 v.21 pp. 23-30
ISSN:
1433-8319
Subject:
biogeography; climate change; dry environmental conditions; forest inventory; hydraulic conductivity; interspecific variation; leaf area; leaves; models; mortality; niches; water potential; woody plants; xylem; Mediterranean region
Abstract:
... Despite growing evidence of changes in plant functional traits (FT) along environmental gradients, the way they shape species niches (i.e. how they alternatively influence the limits, width and environmental optimums of species niche) remains only partially understood. Thus, Species Distribution Models were developed and evaluated using distribution data from the Spanish Forest Inventory for 21of ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.ppees.2016.05.001

10. Potential, realised, future distribution and environmental suitability for Pterocarpus angolensis DC in southern Africa

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; De Cauwer, Vera; Muys, Bart; Revermann, Rasmus;     Show all 4 Authors
Source:
Forest ecology and management 2014 v.315 pp. 211-226
ISSN:
0378-1127
Subject:
Pterocarpus angolensis; biogeography; climate change; data collection; databases; deforestation; environmental factors; fires; forests; geographic information systems; herbaria; land use change; models; rain; summer; temperature; trees; winter; wood; woodlands; Botswana; Madagascar; Namibia; Zambia
Abstract:
... The deciduous tree species Pterocarpus angolensis occurs in the dry woodlands of southern Africa and grows under a broad range of environmental conditions. It is threatened by overharvesting due to its valuable timber (Blood wood, Kiaat) and by land use changes. Information on the most suitable environmental conditions for the species is often old and anecdotal, while available data on its occurre ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.foreco.2013.12.032

11. Operational resilience of reservoirs to climate change, agricultural demand, and tourism: A case study from Sardinia

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Mereu, Simone; Sušnik, Janez; Daccache, Andre; Vamvakeridou-Lyroudia, Lydia; Renoldi, Stefano; Virdis, Andrea; Savić, Dragan; Assimacopoulos, Dionysis;     Show all 9 Authors
Source:
The Science of the total environment 2016 v.543 pp. 1028-1038
ISSN:
0048-9697
Subject:
agricultural industry; agricultural statistics; basins; case studies; climate; climate change; islands; meteorological data; models; population dynamics; risk; socioeconomic development; tourism; tourists; uncertainty; water power; water supply; Italy; Sardinia
Abstract:
... Many (semi-) arid locations globally, and particularly islands, rely heavily on reservoirs for water supply. Some reservoirs are particularly vulnerable to climate and development changes (e.g. population change, tourist growth, hydropower demands). Irregularities and uncertainties in the fluvial regime associated with climate change and the continuous increase in water demand by different sectors ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.04.066

12. Projected impact of climate change on the effectiveness of the existing protected area network for biodiversity conservation within Yunnan Province, China

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Zomer, Robert J.; Xu, Jianchu; Wang, Mingcheng; Li, Zhuoqing;     Show all 5 Authors
Source:
Biological conservation 2015 v.184 pp. 335-345
ISSN:
0006-3207
Subject:
altitude; biodiversity; climate; climate change; geographical distribution; habitats; models; natural resources conservation; risk; vegetation types; China
Abstract:
... Climate change is projected to impact on biodiversity conservation and the effectiveness of the existing protected area network in biologically rich Yunnan Province of southwestern China. A statistically derived bioclimatic stratification is used to analyze projected bioclimatic conditions across Yunnan by the year 2050. The multi-model approach is based on an ensemble of CIMP5 Earth System Models ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.biocon.2015.01.031

13. Projected climate change impacts on spatial distribution of bioclimatic zones and ecoregions within the Kailash Sacred Landscape of China, India, Nepal

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Zomer, Robert J.; Metzger, Marc J.; Wang, Mingcheng; Oli, Krishna P.; Xu, Jianchu;     Show all 6 Authors
Source:
Climatic change 2014 v.125 no.3-4 pp. 445-460
ISSN:
0165-0009
Subject:
vegetation types; development policy; ecoregions; sustainable development; ecosystem services; landscapes; pastoralism; subtropics; models; climate change; land cover; ecosystems; biodiversity; India; Nepal; China
Abstract:
... Rapidly accelerating climate change in the Himalaya is projected to have major implications for montane species, ecosystems, and mountain farming and pastoral systems. A geospatial modeling approach based on a global environmental stratification is used to explore potential impacts of projected climate change on the spatial distribution of bioclimatic strata and ecoregions within the transboundary ...
DOI:
10.1007/s10584-014-1176-2

14. Environmental stratification to model climate change impacts on biodiversity and rubber production in Xishuangbanna, Yunnan, China

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Zomer, Robert J.; Wang, Mingcheng; Lang, Rong; Chen, Huafang; Metzger, Marc J.; Smajgl, Alex; Beckschäfer, Philip; Xu, Jianchu;     Show all 9 Authors
Source:
Biological conservation 2014 v.170 pp. 264-273
ISSN:
0006-3207
Subject:
biodiversity; climate change; climate models; climatic factors; conservation areas; ecosystems; forests; land use change; plantations; rubber; spatial variation; temperature; China
Abstract:
... An analysis and multi-model approach, based on a statistically derived Global Environmental Stratification (GEnS) and using a downscaled ensemble (n=63) of CIMP5 Earth System Models applied across four representative concentration pathways (RCP), has been used to project the impact of climate change on spatial distribution of bioclimatic zones and ecosystems within the biodiverse rich Xishuangbann ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.biocon.2013.11.028

15. Land Area Eligible for Afforestation and Reforestation within the Clean Development Mechanism: A Global Analysis of the Impact of Forest Definition

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Zomer, Robert J.; Verchot, Louis V.; Muys, Bart;     Show all 4 Authors
Source:
Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change 2008 v.13 no.3 pp. 219-239
ISSN:
1381-2386
Subject:
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change; conservation areas; forests; global change; latitude; reforestation; Africa; Asia; Central America; South America
Abstract:
... Within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Kyoto Protocol, countries have significant latitude to define a forest. The most important parameter affecting area designated as forest is the minimum crown cover which can be set between 10 and 30%. The choice will have implications for the amount of land available in a country for afforestation and reforestation activitie ...
DOI:
10.1007/s11027-007-9087-4

16. Climate change mitigation: A spatial analysis of global land suitability for clean development mechanism afforestation and reforestation

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Zomer, Robert J.; Bossio, Deborah A.; Verchot, Louis V.;     Show all 4 Authors
Source:
Agriculture, ecosystems & environment 2008 v.126 no.1-2 pp. 67-80
ISSN:
0167-8809
Subject:
greenhouse gases; poverty; carbon sequestration; food security; gas emissions; agriculture; grasslands; arid zones; pollution control; savannas; population density; international agreements; sustainable development; developing countries; climate change; spatial variation; reforestation; South America; Sub-Saharan Africa; Asia
Abstract:
... Within the Kyoto Protocol, the clean development mechanism (CDM) is an instrument intended to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, while assisting developing countries in achieving sustainable development, with the multiple goals of poverty reduction, environmental benefits and cost-effective emission reductions. The CDM allows for a small percentage of emission reduction credits to come from afforest ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.agee.2008.01.014

17. Climate change mitigation through afforestation/reforestation: A global analysis of hydrologic impacts with four case studies

Author:
Trabucco, Antonio,   et al.   ; Zomer, Robert J.; Bossio, Deborah A.; van Straaten, Oliver; Verchot, Louis V.;     Show all 5 Authors
Source:
Agriculture, ecosystems & environment 2008 v.126 no.1-2 pp. 81-97
ISSN:
0167-8809
Subject:
subsistence farming; global warming; agriculture; grasslands; pollution control; hydrologic cycle; case studies; runoff; hydrologic models; land use change; simulation models; sustainable development; equations; water management; evapotranspiration; reforestation; semiarid zones; Bolivia; Ecuador
Abstract:
... The implicit hydrologic dimensions of international efforts to mitigate climate change, specifically potential impacts of the Clean Development Mechanism-Afforestation/Reforestation (CDM-AR) provisions of the Kyoto Protocol (KP) on global, regional and local water cycles, are examined. The global impact of the redistribution of water use driven by agriculture and land use change, of which CDM-AR c ...
DOI:
10.1016/j.agee.2008.01.015