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Gaining prediction accuracy in land use modeling by integrating modeled hydrologic variables

Author:
Wagner, Paul D., Fohrer, Nicola
Source:
Environmental modelling & software 2019 v.115 pp. 155-163
ISSN:
1364-8152
Subject:
hydrologic factors, hydrologic models, land use, prediction, watersheds, India
Abstract:
Land use and hydrology are interdependent, so that land use modeling could benefit from hydrologic modeling. This study aims to integrate spatial predictions of hydrologic variables as provided by a hydrologic model into a land use model for a rapidly urbanizing catchment in India. The benefits of this integration are quantified by comparing predictions of a land use model that uses a basic set of explanatory variables to a land use model that additionally uses the modeled hydrologic variables. Our results indicate that the integration of the hydrologic variables improved the model accuracy indicated by overall accuracy (+3 and + 4 percentage points (pp)), class specific user and producer accuracies (up to +8 pp) and figure of merit (+4 and + 5.3 pp) when compared with land use classifications at two points in time. Moreover, the land use patterns show that the integration of the hydrologic variables helped to avoid allocation errors.
Agid:
6342081