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Exploring the driving factors of carbon dioxide emission from transport sector in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region

Guo, Mingyuan, Meng, Juan
Journal of cleaner production 2019 v.226 pp. 692-705
analytical methods, carbon dioxide, development policy, economic impact, emissions, freight, industrialization, China
As the basic sector providing basic service and promoting economy development, the increment demand of transport sector has brought much more pressure on the environment. Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is the representative region of the advanced region of China and it is significant to analyze how to achieve the low-carbon transport development in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, meanwhile provide reference of green development for other regions. Using the panel data from 1995 to 2016, the paper analyses the driving factor of carbon dioxide emissions from transport sector with two different analytical methods. The results of LMDI show that transportation energy intensity and economic effect is the main factor increasing the carbon dioxide emissions and the contributing factors to the carbon dioxide emissions reduction in the transport sector are the energy structure effect, the freight turnover of unit industrial output effect and the industrialization effect. In different subclasses divided by different threshold variables, industrialization has the positive impact while the coefficients vary, which indicates that appropriate development policies should be formulated in light of the development characteristics of different regions.