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Multimodal method for landslide risk analysis
- Pollock, William, Grant, Alex, Wartman, Joseph, Abou-Jaoude, Grace
- MethodsX 2019 v.6 pp. 827-836
- landslides, models, risk, risk analysis, Lebanon
- Quantitative landslide risk analysis is a key step in creating appropriate land use policies. However, regional scale landslide hazard and risk studies are traditionally based on a single, infinite-slope style of failure, belying the differing consequences of a diverse range of failure modes. In this paper we expand an existing multimodal coseismic landslide hazard model to create a method for multimodal, multi-trigger quantitative landslide risk analysis and apply it to the country of Lebanon.Physics-based, mode-specific models for coseismic and precipitation-induced landslides capture the effects of multiple failure types and triggering scenarios. A new model for analyzing slope stability against rotational failures allows for efficient, regional scale assessments. Open-source mapping of built-up area is used to identify elements at risk.