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Climate change patterns in precipitation over Spain using CORDEX projections for 2021–2050
- Lorenzo, M.N., Alvarez, I.
- The Science of the total environment 2020 v.723 pp. 138024
- atmospheric precipitation, autumn, climate, climate change, spring, summer, winter, Spain
- This work presents an analysis of the climate change scenarios in some extreme precipitation indices over Spain using simulations from the EURO-CORDEX project. Change projections of precipitation are evaluated for the near future (2021–2050) relatively to a reference past climate (1971–2000). Projections of annual precipitation show a general decrease in almost the whole region except over the central area where positive changes are detected due to a significant increase in winter. For consecutive wet days, an annual decrease is also projected over the country attributable to a significant decrease mainly observed in spring and to a lesser extent in winter. On the other hand, consecutive dry days are projected to be higher overall as a result of significant increases in spring, summer and autumn. Positive changes are also projected for the maximum daily precipitation during winter and autumn.