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Oil depletion and development in Cameroon: A critical appraisal of the permanent income hypothesis

Author:
Djiofack, Calvin Z., Omgba, Luc Désiré
Source:
Energy policy 2011 v.39 no.11 pp. 7202-7216
ISSN:
0301-4215
Subject:
funding, income, issues and policy, models, oils, public finance, Cameroon
Abstract:
This paper focuses on medium term policy options in the economic context of natural resource depletion. In particular, a novel approach for analyzing the impact of the permanent income hypothesis (PIH) with a dynamic recursive computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is employed. The model is benchmarked in an oil producing country with declining production, namely Cameroon. The results show that the PIH renders public finances less vulnerable during the post-oil transition. However, adopting the PIH is not associated with substantial improvements in growth and household welfare in Cameroon. Therefore, the PIH cannot be the only basis for better management of oil revenues in the country.
Agid:
968026